Changing Landscape in Online Poker
Tuesday, May 10th, 2011The poker world certainly took a very big hit from Black Friday and the fallout is only just starting to settle a little. Hundreds of thousands of Americans have had their options for playing drastically reduced, and even the remaining options have an element of fear to them, or at least healthy caution. Some of the poker sites that stayed out of the US market (and thus unaffected by the indictment) have been quick to try to capitalize on the shuffle of players, looking to pick up some of the non-US players who felt more comfortable with their bankrolls at a site not involved in the indictment.
We can probably expect a settlement between at least a couple of the indicted poker sites and the DOJ at some point, but either way the wheels are in motion for some potential major changes in landscape in the world of online poker. The end result for Pokerstars, Full Tilt and Absolute Poker is going to have significant bearing on which poker sites are positioned best when (inevitably) online poker starts to be properly regulated in the United States. The likes of Party Poker, Titan Poker, and 888 Poker could all end up doing well.
In the mean time the networks still taking US players (such as Merge and Cake) may boom a little but there is always going to be an element of fear lurking about whether they might be targeted next. None seem likely to get anywhere near the numbers of Pokerstars and Full Tilt despite the lack of competition so to speak. Many Americans are just not quite ready to get involved again quite yet, understandably, and many never will be until regulation happens. Something in the region of 10,000-15,000 players online will be a good achievement for the Merge and Cake sites, but even with these sort of numbers games like Stud and Draw are never really going to get enough players for significant action, but the likes of Texas Holdem and Omaha should have healthly player levels for the Americans happy enough to risk it.
For non-US players many decent, safe, and reputable sites are still out there, and online poker will certainly remain one of the world’s most popular online pastimes.
